The classroom
How American Odds Work: -110, +250, and What the Book Is Really Telling You
Minus means favorite, plus means underdog โ but the useful skill is converting any number you see into an implied probability.
By Jimmy Gomez
American odds answer one of two questions. Minus numbers (-110, -200): how much you must risk to win $100. Plus numbers (+150, +250): how much you win on a $100 risk. That's the whole encoding โ everything else is arithmetic.
The skill worth building is converting odds to implied probability. For minus odds: odds รท (odds + 100). So -110 implies 110/210 โ 52.4%. For plus odds: 100 รท (odds + 100). So +250 implies 100/350 โ 28.6%. Now the number means something: the book is quoting you a probability.
Add up both sides of a -110/-110 spread market and you get about 104.8% โ more than 100. That extra ~4.8% is the vig, the book's margin. It's why 'pick winners slightly more often than a coin flip' isn't enough: at -110 you need about 52.4% just to break even.
This is also why line shopping matters more than any handicapping trick in this guide. The same game priced at -105 instead of -110 lowers your break-even rate for free. Over hundreds of bets, that fraction of a percent is the difference between the vig eating you and not.
When we log a pick in the tracker, we log the odds we took, because a record without prices is a story, not a record. A 50-50 handicapper at +120 average odds is profitable; a 55% handicapper laying -130 everywhere is not.
Education and opinion only โ nothing on this page guarantees outcomes or constitutes financial advice. 21+. Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.